Morocco's date sector is heading into the 2026–2027 season with stronger production prospects, as growers in Zagora forecast a 10% to 15% increase in output while producers in Figuig also expect a favourable harvest. The outlook marks a continuation of the sector's recovery after several drought-affected seasons.
In Zagora, one of Morocco's most important date-producing areas, growers expect production to increase by between 10% and 15% compared with the previous season. Producers say early conditions are pointing to stronger yields across varieties including Jihel, Bousthammi and Medjool.
One factor supporting the improvement is the reported decline in palm-mite infestations and other diseases that had affected oasis farms during the drought years. Producers say some of the diseases that previously caused significant concern are now much less prevalent this season, improving the health and productive potential of the palm trees.
The positive outlook extends to Figuig, where producers are also anticipating a stronger harvest. Early varieties are already appearing, while Feggous and Medjool are expected to begin ripening in September.
Figuig, however, faces a different challenge. Producers warn that labour shortages could increase harvesting costs, potentially affecting the final price of dates even if production is higher. The shortage of agricultural workers has become a wider problem across Morocco, with farmers turning to mechanisation and alternative labour sources to keep harvesting operations moving.
The expected improvement follows a strong rebound in Morocco's previous date season. National production was estimated at around 160,000 tonnes, up 55% from 103,000 tonnes in 2024–2025. The Drâa-Tafilalet region, which includes Zagora, accounted for roughly 76% of national production, while Figuig's Oriental region contributed about 11%.
A separate industry forecast published earlier this year projected that Morocco's national date output could increase by 10%-20% during the 2026–2027 season, reinforcing expectations of another year of recovery.
NBF Insight
Morocco's date sector is showing what recovery can look like when better water conditions, healthier palm trees and lower pest pressure come together. But higher production does not automatically translate into higher farmer earnings. The emerging labour shortage shows that the next constraint may be getting the crop harvested and marketed at a competitive cost.
For Morocco, sustaining the recovery will require more than restoring production. Investment in oasis management, pest control, labour-saving technologies, water efficiency and value-added date processing will determine how much of the improved harvest ultimately translates into higher rural incomes.
